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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
37 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
97%
0.5-1"
4%
5 more
$7.6K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
75%
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
48 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
70%
1.15–1.19ºC
25%
4 more
$53K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
48 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
50%
December 31
48%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
37 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
60-79
25%
80-99
25%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$100
41 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
100–129
51%
130–159
38%
7 more
$2.7K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
42 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
5000+
99%
2500+
99%
5 more
$40K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.29ºC
40%
1.25–1.29ºC
36%
4 more
$1.5K
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
30 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
425-450mm
39%
475-500mm
36%
8 more
$262.10
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$65
30 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
56%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
34 trading now
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