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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$4.63M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
67 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$1.06M
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$152
50 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
1%
5 more
$1.70M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$2.19M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
61 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
50-74
54%
75-99
22%
3 more
$43K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
44 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
50%
December
13%
5 more
$163K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
45 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 5
33%
August 13
26%
30 more
$67K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
52 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
98%
285M
59%
4 more
$33K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 27?
<200
68%
200-219
22%
2 more
$4.7K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
39 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
July 31
99%
August 31
99%
1 more
$64K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
40-60
1%
3 more
$298K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$101K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
52 trading now
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